BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
* = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
pre-game predict = prediction is based on information known before the game is played.
current predict = prediction is based on current information.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
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Illinois St
Class: 1B Class Rank: 2 Overall: (4-0) Overall Strength = 151.86
Conference: Missouri Valley Football Conference Record: (0-0) | District: 1B-01 Record: (2-0)
pre-game current
N Date Location C D Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk (W-L) Opponent Resid M Predict Predict
1 08-29-2026 Home W 132.66 76 0 NA 75 (0-4) St Francis IL -14.26 * 35.08 90.26
2 09-05-2026 Away W * 164.73 41 10 1B 40 (2-2) Western Illinois 17.81 14.19 13.19
3 09-12-2026 Away W 138.99 28 24 1A 116 (0-3) Northern Illinois -7.92 30.32 11.92
4 09-19-2026 Home W * 151.29 49 13 1B 36 (1-3) Eastern Illinois 4.37 * 31.38 31.63
5 09/26/2026 Away * * 1B 72 (1-2) Northern Iowa 35.36
6 10/03/2026 Home * * 1B 3 (3-1) South Dakota St 8.36
7 10/17/2026 Away * * 1B 11 (2-2) Southern Illinois 11.81
8 10/24/2026 Home * * 1B 23 (2-2) Indiana St 26.16
9 10/31/2026 Home * * 1B 92 (1-3) Murray St 46.85
10 11/07/2026 Away * * 1B 18 (3-1) North Dakota 16.15
11 11/14/2026 Away * * 1B 7 (2-2) Youngstown St 6.39
12 11/21/2026 Home * * 1B 4 (3-1) South Dakota 9.38
Averages 146.92 48.5 11.8
Best game: 164.73 = 31 point win over Western Illinois
Worst game: 132.66 = 76 point win over St Francis IL
Team stdev: 14.17