BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
* = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
pre-game predict = prediction is based on information known before the game is played.
current predict = prediction is based on current information.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
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Illinois St
Class: 1B Class Rank: 5 Overall: (5-2) Overall Strength = 141.80
Conference: Missouri Valley Football Conference Record: (1-2) | District: 1B-01 Record: (3-2)
pre-game current
N Date Location C D Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk (W-L) Opponent Resid M Predict Predict
1 08-29-2026 Home W 129.17 76 0 NA 78 (2-5) St Francis IL -10.83 * 35.08 86.83
2 09-05-2026 Away W * 158.87 41 10 1B 57 (3-4) Western Illinois 18.87 14.19 12.13
3 09-12-2026 Away W 135.98 28 24 1A 133 (0-6) Northern Illinois -4.02 30.32 8.02
4 09-19-2026 Home W * 148.16 49 13 1B 59 (2-5) Eastern Illinois 8.16 31.38 27.84
5 09-26-2026 Away L * * 126.81 21 28 1B 9 (3-3) Northern Iowa -13.19 26.86 6.19
6 10-03-2026 Home L * * 128.40 14 31 1B 1 (5-2) South Dakota St -11.60 -3.64 -5.40
7 10-17-2026 Away W * * 152.60 35 14 1B 15 (3-5) Southern Illinois 12.60 5.32 8.40
8 10/24/2026 Home * * 1B 46 (2-5) Indiana St 23.33
9 10/31/2026 Home * * 1B 112 (1-6) Murray St 44.65
10 11/07/2026 Away * * 1B 6 (6-2) North Dakota 0.63
11 11/14/2026 Away * * 1B 2 (6-2) Youngstown St -8.71
12 11/21/2026 Home * * 1B 4 (6-2) South Dakota 1.61
Averages 140.00 37.7 17.1
Best game: 158.87 = 31 point win over Western Illinois
Worst game: 126.81 = 7 point loss to Northern Iowa
Team stdev: 13.06